Just improvising:
Chance to meleehit (on bosses)
1-(0.16-0.25*expertise)-(0.06-0.25*expertise)-(0.09-hit), where all brackets are >= 0
Chance to proc of 3/5 Reckoning
(1*)(total Avoidance)*0.06
Percentage of swings where Reck willl be active
..erm...[attackspeed of mob]*[chance to procc]/60 is the time it is active per minute
[weaponspeed]/60 is the number of swings per minute
The problem is, that depending on you weapon speed you will not be able to consume all charges which forces me to do a case discrimination and I do not have the time for this now
So that's just the beginning.
If I add the fact that pecision does give spellhit, I'd say it's better, but the mathematical evidence would take too much time atm.
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Cauze blizzard begins to let healing suck.